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Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 37 minutesLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $415.8KEvent: 76ers vs. Knicks
49.5¢
Knicks
50.5¢
76ers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority75Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$182.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $69.6K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$78.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKnicks$43.8K@ 50¢·Jokerxing7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Knicks SETUP
What the tape says

Knicks pressure: $64.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$64.7K
6h
−$14.5K
tracked
$182.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $69.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 75

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Knicks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Jokerxing72 linked markets · $162.2K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $16.6K gross
Herdonia3 linked markets · $13.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Knicks@ 50.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 50.0¢19m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY 76ers@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Knicks; negative values favor 76ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKnicks · $64.7K
6h76ers · $14.5K
24h76ers · $14.5K

Knicks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Knicks price. 76ers fills are converted to the complementary Knicks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d49.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Knicks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$95.5K
45¢
← now
$89.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKnicks$28.9K@ 50.0¢
Jokerxing70xe221…06f6
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYKnicks$43.8K@ 50.0¢
Jokerxing70xe221…06f6
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUY76ers$24.6K@ 52.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUY76ers$23.0K@ 51.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

76ers vs. Knicks
38.5¢$581.4Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5
49.5¢$207.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
44.5¢$158.2Kpriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5
45.5¢$35.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
57.5¢$7.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5
42.0¢$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
37.5¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5
56.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jokerxing7Knicks$73.8K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
ic4cream76ers$56.3K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.