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76ers vs. Knicks

● quote 11s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $382.3KEvent: 76ers vs. Knicks
38.5¢
76ers
61.5¢
Knicks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$179.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $26.7K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$30.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKnicks$39.0K@ 62¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW 76ers SETUP
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $35.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$35.8K
6h
−$15.6K
tracked
$179.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $26.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 70

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".

•If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $16.6K gross
titocomino2 linked markets · $5.1K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $4.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 63.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Knicks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $35.8K
6hKnicks · $15.6K
24hKnicks · $20.2K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Knicks fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d38.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$180.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY76ers$15.6K@ 39.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—27 minutes ago
BUY76ers$11.6K@ 39.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYKnicks$14.9K@ 62.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKnicks$31.0K@ 62.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUY76ers$29.2K@ 38.0¢
alwaysfade0xe5b7…5ee3
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYKnicks$39.0K@ 62.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
49.5¢$191.5Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5
47.5¢$30.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
45.5¢$23.7Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5
52.5¢$64priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5
42.0¢$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
37.5¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5
56.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
57.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

monkeymashingkeyboardKnicks$45.9K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111Knicks$40.1K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills
alwaysfade76ers$29.2K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae4976ers$27.2K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.