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Lisbon: Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery

Sports→TennisSettlement: Raul BrancaccioLiquidity: $692.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $6.4KEvent: Lisbon: Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery
100.0¢
Raul Brancaccio payout
0.0¢
Calvin Hemery payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raul Brancaccio · $30.5K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$39.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRaul Brancaccio$38.0K@ 65¢·kdvlklkvlsklkfs

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Raul Brancaccio. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Calvin Hemery in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Calvin Hemery. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Raul Brancaccio1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Raul Brancaccio@ 70.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Raul Brancaccio1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Raul Brancaccio1d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raul Brancaccio; negative values favor Calvin Hemery. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCalvin Hemery · $598
6hRaul Brancaccio · $90.9K
24hRaul Brancaccio · $90.9K

Raul Brancaccio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raul Brancaccio price. Calvin Hemery fills are converted to the complementary Raul Brancaccio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.7¢▲ above by 34.3pp
VWAP 7d65.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raul Brancaccio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$38
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$21.2K
70¢
$105.3K
65¢
$17.7K
60¢
$54.6K
55¢
$77.4K
50¢
$11.0K
45¢
$13
40¢
$23
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRaul Brancaccio$29.3K@ 56.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYRaul Brancaccio$38.0K@ 65.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYRaul Brancaccio$10.7K@ 59.6¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCalvin Hemery$25.6K@ 30.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCalvin Hemery$11.3K@ 30.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—1 day ago
BUYRaul Brancaccio$13.0K@ 72.1¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCalvin Hemery$10.8K@ 29.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kdvlklkvlsklkfsRaul Brancaccio$119.4K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·10 fills
lsiflsliggjriekCalvin Hemery$76.7K
BUY VWAP 28.2¢·9 fills
ferrariChampions2026Raul Brancaccio$31.4K
BUY VWAP 71.4¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.