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European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $73.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $429.9KEvent: European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
100.0¢
Clement Chidekh
0.1¢
Jacob Fearnley
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution96Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:124 trades$159.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 49s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jacob Fearnley · $1.6K net·8 wallets·$30.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLClement Chidekh$20.1K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jacob Fearnley pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.2K
6h
−$23.7K
tracked
$159.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Jacob Fearnley · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jacob Fearnley or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Chidekh and Jacob Fearnley in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Clement Chidekh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
redvinny2 linked markets · $18.0K gross
0x6944…a3502 linked markets · $16 gross
0x6270…aaca2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Clement Chidekh UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $8.1K → $200 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clement Chidekh; negative values favor Jacob Fearnley. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJacob Fearnley · $6.2K
6hJacob Fearnley · $23.7K
24hJacob Fearnley · $24.8K

Clement Chidekh price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clement Chidekh price. Jacob Fearnley fills are converted to the complementary Clement Chidekh probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.4¢▲ above by 20.5pp
VWAP 7d79.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clement Chidekh price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$54.5K
90¢
$18.5K
85¢
$16.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$17.3K
70¢
$21
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$10.1K
50¢
$31.5K
45¢
$7.1K
40¢
$149
35¢
$3.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLClement Chidekh$20.1K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
0.0¢$12.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$2.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clement Chidekh vs. Jacob Fearnley: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$112priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Clement Chidekh (+1.5)
0.0¢$34priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$17priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chidekh vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cJacob Fearnley$11.0K
BUY VWAP 17.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.