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LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $853.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
100.0¢
MVK Esports
0.1¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 28 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:509 trades$667.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MVK Esports · $58.6K net·28 wallets·$93.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMVK Esports$37.3K@ 100¢·littlelonely777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA Esports pressure: $194.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$194.7K
6h
−$74.4K
tracked
$667.9K

28 verified profitable wallets: MVK Esports · $58.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -53.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 2 against FURIA Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against MVK Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 2 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 2 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x57a8…ebc24 linked markets · $157.3K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $87.8K gross
littlelonely7773 linked markets · $80.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY FURIA Esports@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA Esports@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MVK Esports UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $876 → $3.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MVK Esports; negative values favor FURIA Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA Esports · $194.7K
6hFURIA Esports · $74.4K
24hFURIA Esports · $74.4K

MVK Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted MVK Esports price. FURIA Esports fills are converted to the complementary MVK Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 28.4pp
VWAP 7d71.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MVK Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$229.4K
90¢
$5.4K
85¢
$10.6K
80¢
$17.5K
75¢
$25.5K
70¢
$22.8K
65¢
$35.3K
60¢
$40.4K
55¢
$42.6K
50¢
$22.9K
45¢
$204.8K
40¢
$10.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMVK Esports$34.6K@ 99.9¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLMVK Esports$27.4K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—35 minutes ago
SELLMVK Esports$37.3K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMVK Esports$19.2K@ 99.9¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMVK Esports$10.0K@ 81.2¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$12.6K@ 55.0¢0x57a8…ebc2🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$18.0K@ 54.0¢0x57a8…ebc2🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$19.4K@ 54.0¢0x57a8…ebc2🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
0.5¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
71.5¢$1.1Mpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
0.1¢$132.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
50.5¢$49.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
99.5¢$43.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
0.1¢$23.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: MVK (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
0.0¢$16.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x57a8…ebc2FURIA Esports$61.0K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·5 fills
sdfqq1MVK Esports$18.5K
BUY VWAP 70.5¢·4 fills
0xheavy888MVK Esports$16.9K
BUY VWAP 58.8¢·7 fills
minjiMVK Esports$15.9K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·6 fills
yong32MVK Esports$15.4K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·11 fills
Sunshine.SmileMVK Esports$13.8K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·5 fills
xytestMVK Esports$13.6K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·6 fills
gvrgb326552g65MVK Esports$12.6K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
0xfe1a…a67fMVK Esports$10.1K
BUY VWAP 58.7¢·4 fills
five5120MVK Esports$10.0K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.