LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $390.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
100.0¢
MVK Esports
0.1¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly54direction2wallets17execution99priority0data 87%💡 15 smart
24h sample:251 trades$509.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA Esports · $5.0K net·15 wallets·$30.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMVK Esports$85.9K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA Esports pressure: $8.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.1K
6h
−$83.3K
tracked
$509.8K

15 verified profitable wallets: FURIA Esports · $5.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -57.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against FURIA Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against MVK Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Mooseborzoiii4 linked markets · $157.3K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $87.8K gross
littlelonely7773 linked markets · $80.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA Esports@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -54.7pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA Esports@ 64.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -61.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MVK Esports UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $7.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hFURIA Esports · $8.1K
6hFURIA Esports · $83.3K
24hFURIA Esports · $85.0K

MVK Esports price VWAP

Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.9¢▲ above by 25.1pp
VWAP 7d74.9¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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MVK Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$264.4K
90¢
$12.8K
85¢
$17.0K
80¢
$8.6K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$3.9K
60¢
$5.2K
55¢
$8.0K
50¢
$7.4K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$18.4K
35¢
$152.6K
30¢
$5.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLMVK Esports$10.4K@ 99.9¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMVK Esports$22.6K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMVK Esports$16.1K@ 99.9¢
jdjdjdjeee20x128e…aebf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMVK Esports$15.2K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLMVK Esports$12.2K@ 99.9¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMVK Esports$85.9K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMVK Esports$10.2K@ 99.8¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$27.0K@ 63.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMVK Esports$11.6K@ 38.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMVK Esports$13.8K@ 37.0¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$48.3K@ 62.7¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA Esports$13.2K@ 62.0¢
blgmsiwin0x6100…ed95
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.5Mpriority0
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
0.5¢$1.4Mpriority0
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
71.5¢$1.1Mpriority51
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
0.1¢$132.8Kpriority0
Games Total: O/U 4.5
50.5¢$49.7Kpriority0
Games Total: O/U 3.5
99.5¢$43.0Kpriority0
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
0.1¢$23.9Kpriority0
Game Handicap: MVK (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
0.0¢$16.5Kpriority0

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.MVK Esports$87.2K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·2 fills
MooseborzoiiiFURIA Esports$75.3K
BUY VWAP 62.8¢·2 fills
blgmsiwinFURIA Esports$19.3K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·2 fills
Ja888MVK Esports$17.3K
BUY VWAP 92.3¢·4 fills
NetrolMVK Esports$13.8K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
fkgggg2mouzfuriaMVK Esports$11.6K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
yong32MVK Esports$10.5K
BUY VWAP 77.4¢·6 fills
littlelonely777MVK Esports$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.