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LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: Karmine CorpLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $677.0KEvent: LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
0.0¢
MVK Esports payout
100.0¢
Karmine Corp payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:221 trades$287.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $46.1K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$57.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$20.3K@ 81¢·Sunshine.Smile

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Karmine Corp. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-16 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against Karmine Corp.

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against MVK Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 40m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 40m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $773.5K gross
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $102.0K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $95.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Karmine Corp@ 93.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MVK Esports DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $2.8K → $364 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MVK Esports; negative values favor Karmine Corp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMVK Esports · $1.4K
6hKarmine Corp · $117.0K
24hKarmine Corp · $142.9K

MVK Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted MVK Esports price. Karmine Corp fills are converted to the complementary MVK Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h14.0¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d14.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MVK Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$507
25¢
$39.2K
20¢
$59.9K
15¢
$53.4K
10¢
$43.6K
5¢
$17.6K
0¢
← now
$73.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKarmine Corp$11.5K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$10.7K@ 88.0¢
Ja8880xf94a…396b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$20.3K@ 81.2¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$12.0K@ 74.3¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sunshine.SmileKarmine Corp$20.3K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·1 fill
minjiKarmine Corp$14.1K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·6 fills
0xheavy888Karmine Corp$13.2K
BUY VWAP 86.1¢·5 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANKarmine Corp$13.0K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·2 fills
Jer-PredictKarmine Corp$12.0K
BUY VWAP 74.3¢·1 fill
Ja888Karmine Corp$10.7K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·1 fill
xytestKarmine Corp$10.5K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.