PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Sports→BaseballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.5KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
0.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays
0.0¢
Cleveland Guardians
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$73 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$9
6h
−$13
tracked
$73

1 verified profitable wallet: Cleveland Guardians · $13 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 19h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
cryptoqan0n2 linked markets · $39 gross
0xf276…7b1e2 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $9
6hCleveland Guardians · $13
24hTampa Bay Rays · $8

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.3¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d36.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$73
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
49.5¢$235.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
51.5¢$76.7Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
35.5¢$3.0Mpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)
0.1¢$916.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$872.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.