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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?

Crypto→PricesCloses: about 16 hoursLiquidity: $49.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $259.1KEvent: Ethereum price on October 22?
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:33 trades$143.4K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 662 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $991 net·7 wallets·$1.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNO$49.9K@ 100¢·CoinTrick

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
CoinTrick2 linked markets · $82.1K gross
AgricultureSecretary2 linked markets · $64.3K gross
ProudIsraeli2 linked markets · $50.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $68.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h35.8¢▼ below by 35.8pp
VWAP 7d35.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$49.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$125
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$6.1K
0¢
← now
$79.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$24.5K@ 99.8¢
kaanha0x4060…3ec3
🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLNO$49.9K@ 99.8¢
CoinTrick0x731a…033f
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYYES$24.9K@ 99.0¢
AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYYES$24.7K@ 95.2¢
ProudIsraeli0xb77b…70a5
🐋—about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AgricultureSecretaryYes$29.7K
BUY VWAP 70.9¢·5 fills
kaanhaNo$28.0K
BUY VWAP 96.7¢·2 fills
ProudIsraeliYes$24.7K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.