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Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: 9zLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
0.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
100.0¢
9z payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$157 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 9z. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-16 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Aurora Gaming's round total on Map 1 exceeds 9z's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "9z".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Aurora Gaming's round total on Map 1 exceeds 9z's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "9z". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $26.5K gross
hurrican2 linked markets · $23.0K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $22.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor 9z. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $124
6hAurora Gaming · $91
24hAurora Gaming · $91

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. 9z fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h12.3¢▼ below by 12.3pp
VWAP 7d12.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
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$0
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55¢
$4
50¢
$29
45¢
$0
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35¢
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20¢
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15¢
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10¢
$0
5¢
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0¢
← now
$124

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
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Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$743priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)
0.0¢$42priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.