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Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $46.0KEvent: Jazz vs. Grizzlies
43.5¢
Over
56.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%
24h sample:2 trades$25.0K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$25.0K@ 58¢·tin54321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
−$25.0K
tracked
$25.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 44 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the combined final score is more than 244.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over".

•If the combined final score is less than 244.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Jazz and Grizzlies, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the combined final score is more than 244.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over". If the combined final score is less than 244.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
tin543213 linked markets · $53.0K gross
SunlineTicker4 linked markets · $18.7K gross
vibing1232 linked markets · $8.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 58.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $1
6hUnder · $25.0K
24hUnder · $25.0K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h42.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d42.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$25.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$25.0K@ 57.9¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jazz vs. Grizzlies
46.5¢$170.7Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5
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Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
51.5¢$100.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
55.5¢$37.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5
53.0¢$36.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
64.5¢$26.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5
50.5¢$25.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
46.5¢$22.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tin54321Under$25.0K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.