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Jazz vs. Grizzlies

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $463.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.8KEvent: Jazz vs. Grizzlies
46.5¢
Jazz
53.5¢
Grizzlies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:66 trades$56.9K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Grizzlies · $2.2K net·5 wallets·$6.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGrizzlies$5.6K@ 53¢·0xe261…a785

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Grizzlies pressure: $3.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.2K
6h
−$11.5K
tracked
$56.9K

5 verified profitable wallets: Grizzlies · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Grizzlies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".

•If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
tin543213 linked markets · $53.0K gross
SunlineTicker4 linked markets · $18.7K gross
vibing1232 linked markets · $8.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jazz; negative values favor Grizzlies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGrizzlies · $3.2K
6hGrizzlies · $11.5K
24hGrizzlies · $39.8K

Jazz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jazz price. Grizzlies fills are converted to the complementary Jazz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h47.4¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jazz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
← now
$56.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5
47.0¢$126.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
51.5¢$100.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5
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Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
55.5¢$36.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5
52.5¢$35.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
64.5¢$26.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5
50.5¢$24.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
46.5¢$22.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SunlineTickerGrizzlies$13.3K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.