PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Magic (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 26 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $77.8KEvent: Hawks vs. Magic
49.5¢
Magic
50.5¢
Hawks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:37 trades$45.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hawks · $16.7K net·7 wallets·$19.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHawks$10.2K@ 51¢·PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Hawks SETUP
What the tape says

Hawks pressure: $16.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.7K
6h
−$21.0K
tracked
$45.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Hawks · $16.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 68

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hawks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Magic wins by more than 2.5 points, the market will resolve to "Magic".

•If Hawks loses by fewer than 2.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Hawks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Hawks and Magic, scheduled for October 21 at 7:00PM ET: If Magic wins by more than 2.5 points, the market will resolve to "Magic". If Hawks loses by fewer than 2.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
BreakTheBank2 linked markets · $88.6K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $36.2K gross
Herdonia7 linked markets · $22.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magic; negative values favor Hawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHawks · $16.7K
6hHawks · $21.0K
24hHawks · $33.3K

Magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magic price. Hawks fills are converted to the complementary Magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.3¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d49.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$7.0K
45¢
← now
$40.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHawks$10.2K@ 51.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Hawks vs. Magic
44.5¢$404.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
45.5¢$50.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5
50.5¢$27.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5
46.5¢$24.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5
43.5¢$23.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Magic (-16.5)
13.5¢$12.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5
48.5¢$11.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 222.5
0.0¢$4.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardHawks$14.5K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·4 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANHawks$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.