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Dota 2: Kalmychata vs HULIGANI (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $54.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $247.9KEvent: Dota 2: Kalmychata vs HULIGANI (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
99.9¢
Kalmychata
7.0¢
HULIGANI
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:127 trades$53.4K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 25s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:HULIGANI · $11.5K net·12 wallets·$16.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKalmychata$6.4K@ 100¢·magnolianflqwers

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

HULIGANI pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
−$18.9K
tracked
$53.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: HULIGANI · $11.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 34 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from HULIGANI or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against HULIGANI.

•This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Kalmychata.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Kalmychata and HULIGANI in the DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Kalmychata. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
yanedaniil3 linked markets · $14.6K gross
qwista-yeban23 linked markets · $14.2K gross
MedoD3P3 linked markets · $11.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kalmychata UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $3.3K → $7.5K · 30s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kalmychata; negative values favor HULIGANI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHULIGANI · $2.4K
6hHULIGANI · $18.9K
24hHULIGANI · $18.9K

Kalmychata price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kalmychata price. HULIGANI fills are converted to the complementary Kalmychata probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h62.0¢▲ above by 37.9pp
VWAP 7d62.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kalmychata price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$454
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$6.0K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$8.1K
40¢
$2.2K
35¢
$2.6K
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$336
20¢
$262
15¢
$76
10¢
$4.3K
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.