Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

● quote 10s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $22.3KEvent: Thunder vs. Spurs
42.5¢
Spurs
57.5¢
Thunder
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets67execution63priority0data 59%💡 2 smart
24h sample:11 trades$8.5K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thunder · $9.0K net·2 wallets·$9.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThunder$5.5K@ 53¢·ArielFilipino

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.4K
tracked
$8.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Thunder · $9.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 81 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues3 linked markets · $4.5K gross
rrrr1122332 linked markets · $2.8K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $1.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hSpurs · $0
6hSpurs · $1.4K
24hThunder · $5.6K

Spurs price VWAP

Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h46.0¢▼ below by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d46.8¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10.3K
40¢
← now
$1.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.