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W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $10.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $296.8KEvent: W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
99.6¢
Juliette Mazzoni
0.4¢
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$152.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Juliette Mazzoni · $9.9K net·3 wallets·$12.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuliette Mazzoni$19.9K@ 99¢·gotozer0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$40
6h
+$150.7K
tracked
$152.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Juliette Mazzoni · $9.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juliette Mazzoni and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru in the W35 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juliette Mazzoni' if Juliette Mazzoni advances against Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bianca Bulgaru' if Miriam Bianca Bulgaru advances against Juliette Mazzoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Juliette Mazzoni@ 96.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.8pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Juliette Mazzoni; negative values favor Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiriam Bianca Bulgaru · $40
6hJuliette Mazzoni · $150.7K
24hJuliette Mazzoni · $149.5K

Juliette Mazzoni price VWAP

Volume-weighted Juliette Mazzoni price. Miriam Bianca Bulgaru fills are converted to the complementary Juliette Mazzoni probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.6¢
VWAP 24h98.2¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d97.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Juliette Mazzoni price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$139.9K
90¢
$12.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$1.5K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJuliette Mazzoni$19.9K@ 99.3¢
gotozer00x936e…473f
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gotozer0Juliette Mazzoni$83.6K
BUY VWAP 99.1¢·13 fills
0xe911…3d4eJuliette Mazzoni$20.1K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·6 fills
ilovetennisJuliette Mazzoni$10.4K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.