PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Maia: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas

● quote 299 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $874.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $315.1KEvent: Maia: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas
99.9¢
Tristan Boyer
0.1¢
Vilius Gaubas
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets27Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$105.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 328 min agoofficial metadata 301 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tristan Boyer · $4.4K net·14 wallets·$16.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTristan Boyer$23.2K@ 77¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$43.3K
tracked
$105.5K

14 verified profitable wallets: Tristan Boyer · $4.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 299 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 328 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 301 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Vilius Gaubas in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Tristan Boyer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $407 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Vilius Gaubas DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $87 → $713 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tristan Boyer; negative values favor Vilius Gaubas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTristan Boyer · $0
6hTristan Boyer · $43.3K
24hTristan Boyer · $25.0K

Tristan Boyer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tristan Boyer price. Vilius Gaubas fills are converted to the complementary Tristan Boyer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h69.5¢▲ above by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d69.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tristan Boyer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$25.3K
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$30.8K
70¢
$10.9K
65¢
$844
60¢
$140
55¢
$14.9K
50¢
$7.3K
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$6.7K
35¢
$2
30¢
$0
25¢
$737
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTristan Boyer$23.2K@ 77.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYTristan Boyer$17.3K@ 86.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
0.1¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
40.5¢$1.6Mpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$945.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescu
0.0¢$696.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$420.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtTristan Boyer$40.4K
BUY VWAP 80.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.