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Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

● quote 60 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $211.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $139.1KEvent: Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
99.9¢
Hugo Gaston
0.1¢
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:79 trades$45.1K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 60 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Gaston · $1.3K net·5 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHugo Gaston$9.0K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.7K
tracked
$45.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: Hugo Gaston · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 60 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 85 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 60 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Gaston UP 10.5pp · near-book depth $798 → $18.6K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Gaston; negative values favor Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $0
6hPierre-Hugues Herbert · $5.7K
24hPierre-Hugues Herbert · $5.7K

Hugo Gaston price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Gaston price. Pierre-Hugues Herbert fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Gaston probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h74.4¢▲ above by 25.5pp
VWAP 7d74.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Gaston price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.3K
90¢
$2.7K
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$5.0K
70¢
$860
65¢
$6.2K
60¢
$5.7K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$360
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.