PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Lions (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $90.4KEvent: Vikings vs. Lions

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.5¢
Lions
52.5¢
Vikings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly6Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$40.0K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lions · $41.7K net·2 wallets(2🐋)·$41.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLions$24.0K@ 48¢·wan123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$113
6h
+$613
tracked
$40.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Lions · $41.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Vikings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Vikings and Lions, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Vikings". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.9K gross
0x76ad…7e6d2 linked markets · $400 gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $109 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 48.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 49.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lions; negative values favor Vikings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $113
6hLions · $613
24hLions · $24.6K

Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lions price. Vikings fills are converted to the complementary Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h47.86¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d47.93¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$58.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLions$24.0K@ 48.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYLions$17.7K@ 48.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Vikings vs. Lions
37.5¢$63.0Kpriority38Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-14.5)
8.0¢$31.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
24.5¢$27.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
58.5¢$13.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
54.5¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)
—$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-21.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-8.5)
29.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wan123Lions$24.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLions$17.7K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.