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Spread: Vikings (-14.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 31 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $31.2KEvent: Vikings vs. Lions

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

8.0¢
Vikings
92.0¢
Lions
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%
24h sample:4 trades$22.0K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 70%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 747 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLions$14.2K@ 94¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$22.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 747 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lions".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Vikings and Lions, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lions". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.9K gross
0x76ad…7e6d2 linked markets · $400 gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $143 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 94.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h STALLED -3.0pp6h STALLED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Lions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $0
6hVikings · $0
24hLions · $22.0K

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Lions fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.0¢
VWAP 24h6.25¢▲ above by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d6.25¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$22.0K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLions$14.2K@ 94.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Lions (-3.5)
47.5¢$98.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vikings vs. Lions
37.5¢$69.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
24.5¢$27.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
57.5¢$14.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
54.5¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)
—$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 54.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 40.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Lions$21.9K
BUY VWAP 93.75¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.