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Set 2 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $165Event: Roanne: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet
0.0¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0.0¢
Etienne Donnet
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:1 trades$41 trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 96 min agoofficial metadata 80 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$41
tracked
$41

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 96 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins set 2. It will resolve to “Etienne Donnet” if Etienne Donnet wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Etienne Donnet in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins set 2. It will resolve to “Etienne Donnet” if Etienne Donnet wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3112…3fcd3 linked markets · $123 gross
0x8563…5e982 linked markets · $82 gross
0x6f70…862a2 linked markets · $64 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Etienne Donnet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $0
6hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $41
24hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $41

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Etienne Donnet fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h0.1¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d0.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$41

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.