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Roanne: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet

● quote 24 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $645.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $226.4KEvent: Roanne: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet
1.0¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
99.9¢
Etienne Donnet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection55Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$78.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 23 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Etienne Donnet · $8.3K net·4 wallets·$13.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEtienne Donnet$27.4K@ 75¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pressure: $43.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$43.0K
6h
+$25.6K
tracked
$78.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Etienne Donnet · $8.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +63.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 24 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 63.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Etienne Donnet in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Etienne Donnet. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3112…3fcd3 linked markets · $123 gross
0x8563…5e982 linked markets · $82 gross
0x6f70…862a2 linked markets · $64 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Etienne Donnet2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Etienne Donnet@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp
Latest book event: Etienne Donnet UP 15.5pp · near-book depth $2.2K → $3.1K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Etienne Donnet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $43.0K
6hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $25.6K
24hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $25.6K

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Etienne Donnet fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h35.7¢▼ below by 34.7pp
VWAP 7d35.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$98
70¢
$38
65¢
$19.9K
60¢
$8
55¢
$4
50¢
$6
45¢
$11.9K
40¢
$3.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$124
20¢
$27.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.7K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEtienne Donnet$11.6K@ 95.5¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLEtienne Donnet$27.4K@ 75.3¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEtienne Donnet$10.3K@ 30.2¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LuzzzerEtienne Donnet$15.0K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.