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Catania: Francesco Forti vs Zdenek Kolar

● quote 191 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $117.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.8KEvent: Catania: Francesco Forti vs Zdenek Kolar
0.1¢
Francesco Forti
99.9¢
Zdenek Kolar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:165 trades$69.8K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 195 min agoofficial metadata 193 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zdenek Kolar · $7.3K net·16 wallets·$31.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYZdenek Kolar$9.8K@ 54¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.6K
tracked
$69.8K

16 verified profitable wallets: Zdenek Kolar · $7.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 191 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 195 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 193 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Forti and Zdenek Kolar in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Forti' if Francesco Forti advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Francesco Forti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4c13…ba942 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Francesco Forti DOWN 17.6pp · near-book depth $11 → $0 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francesco Forti; negative values favor Zdenek Kolar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancesco Forti · $0
6hFrancesco Forti · $8.6K
24hZdenek Kolar · $2.4K

Francesco Forti price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francesco Forti price. Zdenek Kolar fills are converted to the complementary Francesco Forti probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▼ below by 45.2pp
VWAP 7d45.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francesco Forti price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$25
90¢
$4.0K
85¢
$15
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$630
70¢
$35
65¢
$356
60¢
$112
55¢
$7.7K
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$30.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$4
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$4.5K
15¢
$318
10¢
$0
5¢
$3.6K
0¢
← now
$4.7K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cZdenek Kolar$13.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.