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Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien

Sports→TennisSettlement: Luis Guto MiguelLiquidity: $53.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.8KEvent: Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
100.0¢
Luis Guto Miguel payout
0.0¢
Murkel Dellien payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:58 trades$38.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 129 min agoofficial metadata 69 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luis Guto Miguel · $556 net·5 wallets·$3.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuis Guto Miguel$24.7K@ 90¢·lsiflsliggjriek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Luis Guto Miguel. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Murkel Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Guto Miguel' if Luis Guto Miguel advances against Murkel Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Luis Guto Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xdeff…78f82 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Luis Guto Miguel@ 93.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.4pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luis Guto Miguel; negative values favor Murkel Dellien. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMurkel Dellien · $5
6hLuis Guto Miguel · $35.0K
24hLuis Guto Miguel · $35.1K

Luis Guto Miguel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luis Guto Miguel price. Murkel Dellien fills are converted to the complementary Luis Guto Miguel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h91.9¢▲ above by 8.1pp
VWAP 7d91.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luis Guto Miguel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.3K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$24.7K
80¢
$110
75¢
$259
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$43
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuis Guto Miguel$24.7K@ 89.9¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lsiflsliggjriekLuis Guto Miguel$26.4K
BUY VWAP 89.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.