PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $940.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
0.1¢
FURIA Esports
100.0¢
MVK Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:303 trades$436.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 58s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MVK Esports · $3.6K net·13 wallets·$15.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMVK Esports$97.4K@ 81¢·0xb70c…34ca

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

MVK Esports pressure: $109.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$109.8K
6h
−$57.3K
tracked
$436.4K

13 verified profitable wallets: MVK Esports · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +19.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MVK Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports.

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion527 linked markets · $127.9K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $108.1K gross
johnbaster2 linked markets · $60.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY MVK Esports40m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL FURIA Esports40m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL FURIA Esports@ 19.1¢54m ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.5pp
LARGE FLOWBUY MVK Esports@ 80.7¢57m ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.7pp
Latest book event: FURIA Esports DOWN 12.9pp · near-book depth $431 → $916 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor MVK Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMVK Esports · $109.8K
6hMVK Esports · $57.3K
24hMVK Esports · $47.8K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. MVK Esports fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.3¢▼ below by 32.2pp
VWAP 7d32.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.3K
75¢
$96.4K
70¢
$7.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$6.3K
50¢
$23.8K
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$7.6K
30¢
$5.5K
25¢
$10.1K
20¢
$30.0K
15¢
$157.4K
10¢
$4.5K
5¢
$8.3K
0¢
← now
$75.7K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMVK Esports$22.2K@ 99.9¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYMVK Esports$27.4K@ 80.8¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$11.6K@ 19.1¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMVK Esports$97.4K@ 80.8¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA Esports$36.4K@ 75.0¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$660.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.1¢$123.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
0.1¢$68.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
0.1¢$31.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 4 Winner
50.5¢$11.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.1¢$10.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb70c…34caMVK Esports$124.9K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·2 fills
0xb70c…34caFURIA Esports$36.4K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
arm1337MVK Esports$20.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·4 fills
0xf201…527eFURIA Esports$15.7K
BUY VWAP 19.1¢·2 fills
vtcchampion52FURIA Esports$15.1K
BUY VWAP 28.3¢·25 fills
MeiGuNiuBiFURIA Esports$14.3K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.