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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Sports→TennisSettlement: Zizou BergsLiquidity: $439.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $917.0KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
100.0¢
Zizou Bergs payout
0.0¢
Carlos Alcaraz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:271 trades$270.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 855 min agoofficial metadata 61 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carlos Alcaraz · $40.7K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$97.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlos Alcaraz$34.2K@ 93¢·0F62

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Zizou Bergs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4c07…62002 linked markets · $3.6K gross
astapzippo2 linked markets · $2.8K gross
0xb4c0…92d82 linked markets · $755 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Zizou Bergs@ 76.0¢15h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 93.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 93.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Zizou Bergs UP 12.5pp · near-book depth $19 → $2.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zizou Bergs; negative values favor Carlos Alcaraz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZizou Bergs · $0
6hZizou Bergs · $0
24hCarlos Alcaraz · $182.5K

Zizou Bergs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zizou Bergs price. Carlos Alcaraz fills are converted to the complementary Zizou Bergs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h42.6¢▲ above by 57.4pp
VWAP 7d41.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zizou Bergs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$34.6K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$0
55¢
$8.6K
50¢
$5.2K
45¢
$10.6K
40¢
$19.8K
35¢
$71.1K
30¢
$39.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$650
10¢
$6.0K
5¢
$92.6K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLZizou Bergs$14.0K@ 99.9¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$10.0K@ 53.4¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$13.4K@ 66.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$20.1K@ 65.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$10.0K@ 64.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$34.2K@ 93.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$18.0K@ 92.7¢
0000.0x49e0…9af1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$10.0K@ 92.0¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Carlos Alcaraz$34.2K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
KkunnCarlos Alcaraz$25.1K
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·3 fills
0000.Carlos Alcaraz$24.0K
BUY VWAP 92.5¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesCarlos Alcaraz$18.9K
BUY VWAP 46.5¢·8 fills
luisterraCarlos Alcaraz$13.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cCarlos Alcaraz$13.4K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesZizou Bergs$12.6K
BUY VWAP 36.3¢·8 fills
0x760f…326aCarlos Alcaraz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 53.4¢·1 fill
Cuco84Carlos Alcaraz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.