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Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $117.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $390.3KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa
100.0¢
Dayana Yastremska
0.1¢
Cristina Bucsa
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly38Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:167 trades$154.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dayana Yastremska · $27.3K net·9 wallets·$45.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDayana Yastremska$15.0K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cristina Bucsa pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
+$34.9K
tracked
$154.8K

9 verified profitable wallets: Dayana Yastremska · $27.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cristina Bucsa or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Cristina Bucsa in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Cristina Bucsa. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.0K gross
0x8152…5b512 linked markets · $389 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Dayana Yastremska UP 7.3pp · near-book depth $550 → $1.2K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dayana Yastremska; negative values favor Cristina Bucsa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCristina Bucsa · $1.7K
6hDayana Yastremska · $34.9K
24hDayana Yastremska · $35.5K

Dayana Yastremska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dayana Yastremska price. Cristina Bucsa fills are converted to the complementary Dayana Yastremska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.1¢▲ above by 26.9pp
VWAP 7d73.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dayana Yastremska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$44.1K
90¢
$5.9K
85¢
$15.6K
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$55
70¢
$9.1K
65¢
$18.3K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$8.5K
50¢
$20.8K
45¢
$974
40¢
$23.2K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDayana Yastremska$15.0K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDayana Yastremska$12.0K@ 86.3¢0xb38a…3293🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyDayana Yastremska$26.0K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesDayana Yastremska$13.6K
BUY VWAP 88.5¢·8 fills
0xb38a…3293Dayana Yastremska$12.0K
BUY VWAP 86.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.