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Nuggets vs. Lakers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 30 minutesLiquidity: $108.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $65.4KEvent: Nuggets vs. Lakers
42.5¢
Nuggets
57.5¢
Lakers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection37Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$20.7K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuggets · $447 net·2 wallets·$453 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuggets$4.0K@ 36¢·Moneyloverman

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Nuggets pressure: $7.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.6K
6h
+$5.0K
tracked
$20.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nuggets · $447 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nuggets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".

•If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 10:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Moneyloverman3 linked markets · $12.7K gross
Forecastication23 linked markets · $1.5K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $358 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuggets; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuggets · $7.6K
6hNuggets · $5.0K
24hNuggets · $4.5K

Nuggets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuggets price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Nuggets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h35.1¢▲ above by 7.4pp
VWAP 7d35.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuggets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$4.3K
35¢
$6.3K
30¢
$10.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.