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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Sports→TennisSettlement: Jakub MensikLiquidity: $624.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $991.1KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
0.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
100.0¢
Jakub Mensik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $33.9K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$74.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJakub Mensik$131.7K@ 100¢·lsiflsliggjriek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jakub Mensik. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 39.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jakub Mensik3d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Jakub Mensik3d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Jakub Mensik@ 49.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Jakub Mensik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Cerundolo · $178.2K
6hFrancisco Cerundolo · $101.5K
24hFrancisco Cerundolo · $105.9K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Jakub Mensik fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.9¢▼ below by 21.9pp
VWAP 7d21.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.7K
55¢
$5.8K
50¢
$4.5K
45¢
$133.2K
40¢
$39.0K
35¢
$11.1K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$25.8K
20¢
$26.9K
15¢
$34.3K
10¢
$45.8K
5¢
$29.3K
0¢
← now
$179.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJakub Mensik$14.8K@ 99.9¢0x197c…e025🐋—3 days ago
SELLJakub Mensik$131.7K@ 99.9¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—3 days ago
SELLJakub Mensik$25.9K@ 92.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—3 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$20.0K@ 86.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—3 days ago
SELLJakub Mensik$25.8K@ 71.2¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—3 days ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$18.1K@ 45.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$12.7K@ 55.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—3 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$31.1K@ 55.0¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—3 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$42.7K@ 54.9¢
lsiflsliggjriek0x4f53…67d3
🐋—3 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$14.3K@ 81.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lsiflsliggjriekJakub Mensik$86.5K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtFrancisco Cerundolo$45.1K
BUY VWAP 36.7¢·6 fills
tennischampJakub Mensik$22.1K
BUY VWAP 80.5¢·4 fills
hurricanJakub Mensik$20.0K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.