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LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $63.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $757.8KEvent: LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
72.5¢
Team WE
27.5¢
FlyQuest
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:170 trades$277.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FlyQuest · $37.4K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$68.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlyQuest$15.9K@ 20¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW FlyQuest SETUP
What the tape says

FlyQuest pressure: $33.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.6K
6h
+$455
tracked
$277.0K

10 verified profitable wallets: FlyQuest · $37.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 57

Since latest liquidity absorption: -17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FlyQuest or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against FlyQuest.

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team WE.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Team WE and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217582 linked markets · $55.9K gross
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $47.5K gross
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $32.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY FlyQuest@ 45.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY FlyQuest@ 21.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: FlyQuest DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $1.6K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team WE; negative values favor FlyQuest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlyQuest · $33.6K
6hTeam WE · $455
24hTeam WE · $34.5K

Team WE price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team WE price. FlyQuest fills are converted to the complementary Team WE probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current72.5¢
VWAP 24h69.5¢▲ above by 3.0pp
VWAP 7d69.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team WE price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$130.7K
75¢
$17.2K
70¢
← now
$6.7K
65¢
$795
60¢
$10.7K
55¢
$84.6K
50¢
$26.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlyQuest$12.8K@ 44.2¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYTeam WE$12.1K@ 81.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFlyQuest$15.9K@ 20.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTeam WE$11.0K@ 80.0¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$717.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
95.5¢$622.6Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
42.0¢$125.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)
0.1¢$77.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cFlyQuest$47.5K
BUY VWAP 44.6¢·14 fills
Lakersfan111FlyQuest$23.6K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·4 fills
ziyoucuiTeam WE$16.3K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills
Jer-PredictTeam WE$14.8K
BUY VWAP 66.8¢·2 fills
madkkeeTeam WE$13.3K
BUY VWAP 74.1¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cTeam WE$11.4K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.