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LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $442.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
100.0¢
Team WE
0.1¢
FlyQuest
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:298 trades$454.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FlyQuest · $9.7K net·20 wallets(1🐋)·$76.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam WE$21.5K@ 100¢·aomendushen008

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

FlyQuest pressure: $11.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.3K
6h
+$111.9K
tracked
$454.0K

20 verified profitable wallets: FlyQuest · $9.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +33.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 33.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FlyQuest or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against FlyQuest.

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 2 against Team WE.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Team WE and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 2 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217583 linked markets · $75.5K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $61.8K gross
halanddd1232 linked markets · $56.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team WE51m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team WE@ 67.0¢54m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: FlyQuest DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $174 → $746 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team WE; negative values favor FlyQuest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlyQuest · $11.3K
6hTeam WE · $111.9K
24hTeam WE · $111.9K

Team WE price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team WE price. FlyQuest fills are converted to the complementary Team WE probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.8¢▲ above by 21.2pp
VWAP 7d78.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team WE price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$173.7K
90¢
$12.0K
85¢
$12.6K
80¢
$2.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$26.2K
65¢
$90.6K
60¢
$97.4K
55¢
$18.2K
50¢
$9.3K
45¢
$8.3K
40¢
$2.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam WE$21.5K@ 99.9¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—39 minutes ago
SELLTeam WE$10.2K@ 99.9¢
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYTeam WE$10.0K@ 98.0¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$10.0K@ 97.0¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$10.0K@ 64.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$13.2K@ 66.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$14.1K@ 65.0¢
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$10.0K@ 66.1¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam WE$12.0K@ 67.2¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
73.0¢$858.9Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$745.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
72.5¢$612.1Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
49.5¢$126.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: WE (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)
0.1¢$77.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758Team WE$40.8K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·9 fills
halanddd123Team WE$23.0K
BUY VWAP 65.2¢·4 fills
aomendushen008Team WE$20.0K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·2 fills
Username2133Team WE$13.3K
BUY VWAP 68.7¢·8 fills
SineNooneEITeam WE$13.2K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
arm1337Team WE$12.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·3 fills
Jer-PredictTeam WE$12.0K
BUY VWAP 67.2¢·1 fill
hurricanTeam WE$10.0K
BUY VWAP 66.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.