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Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Sports→SoccerSettlement: Villarreal CFLiquidity: $137.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $313.1KEvent: Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets
0.0¢
Liverpool FC payout
100.0¢
Villarreal CF payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:19 trades$9.1K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1321 min agoofficial metadata 1130 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Villarreal CF · $43.4K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$48.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVillarreal CF$17.0K@ 60¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Villarreal CF. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Villarreal CF".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Villarreal CF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 21h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 21h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F622 linked markets · $82.3K gross
Flaznorp8 linked markets · $76.3K gross
UpTheBlues7 linked markets · $65.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Villarreal CF@ 63.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Villarreal CF@ 63.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Villarreal CF@ 61.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Villarreal CF UP 20.5pp · near-book depth $5.7K → $3.2K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liverpool FC; negative values favor Villarreal CF. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiverpool FC · $0
6hVillarreal CF · $106.3K
24hVillarreal CF · $105.5K

Liverpool FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liverpool FC price. Villarreal CF fills are converted to the complementary Liverpool FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.4¢▼ below by 39.4pp
VWAP 7d39.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liverpool FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$4
85¢
$3
80¢
$2.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2
40¢
$60.6K
35¢
$67.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$3
15¢
$0
10¢
$224
5¢
$1.9K
0¢
← now
$6

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVillarreal CF$17.0K@ 60.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesVillarreal CF$45.1K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·24 fills
ferrariChampions2026Villarreal CF$26.8K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
FlaznorpVillarreal CF$19.1K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.