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Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elmer MoellerLiquidity: $212.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $341.0KEvent: Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller
0.0¢
Zsombor Piros payout
100.0¢
Elmer Moeller payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:108 trades$131.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 148 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zsombor Piros · $1.1K net·7 wallets·$15.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYZsombor Piros$13.6K@ 50¢·xabidaking

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elmer Moeller. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zsombor Piros and Elmer Moeller in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Zsombor Piros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Elmer Moeller UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $65.2K → $16.4K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zsombor Piros; negative values favor Elmer Moeller. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZsombor Piros · $0
6hZsombor Piros · $33.1K
24hZsombor Piros · $57.4K

Zsombor Piros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zsombor Piros price. Elmer Moeller fills are converted to the complementary Zsombor Piros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h55.0¢▼ below by 55.0pp
VWAP 7d55.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zsombor Piros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$5.1K
85¢
$13.5K
80¢
$25.3K
75¢
$11.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.0K
60¢
$11.3K
55¢
$5.3K
50¢
$17.7K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$5.2K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.6K
15¢
$8.7K
10¢
$2
5¢
$29
0¢
← now
$17.1K

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYZsombor Piros$13.6K@ 50.3¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYZsombor Piros$11.6K@ 84.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseZsombor Piros$14.0K
BUY VWAP 77.4¢·3 fills
redvinnyZsombor Piros$13.7K
BUY VWAP 87.9¢·4 fills
xabidakingZsombor Piros$13.6K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.