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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $4.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $854.5KEvent: Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
19.5¢
Buccaneers
80.5¢
Cowboys
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection69Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority75Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$567.3K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 73%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Buccaneers · $25.7K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$50.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCowboys$310.6K@ 81¢·0x49f2…506a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cowboys pressure: $393.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$393.9K
6h
−$469.4K
tracked
$567.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: Buccaneers · $25.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 75

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cowboys or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Cowboys, scheduled for October 8 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kosherlocks2 linked markets · $92.1K gross
Mastermoney4 linked markets · $54.5K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $38.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Cowboys@ 81.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cowboys@ 81.0¢19m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Cowboys@ 81.0¢45m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cowboys@ 82.0¢55m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Buccaneers; negative values favor Cowboys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCowboys · $393.9K
6hCowboys · $469.4K
24hCowboys · $503.2K

Buccaneers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Buccaneers price. Cowboys fills are converted to the complementary Buccaneers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h19.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d19.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Buccaneers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$65.0K
15¢
← now
$556.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCowboys$60.0K@ 81.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYCowboys$12.3K@ 82.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCowboys$10.7K@ 82.0¢0x49f2…506a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCowboys$310.6K@ 81.0¢0x49f2…506a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCowboys$11.1K@ 81.0¢
JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCowboys$34.0K@ 81.0¢
Scotty81530x00a5…f151
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCowboys$10.0K@ 81.0¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCowboys$16.2K@ 81.0¢
elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBuccaneers$20.0K@ 20.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYCowboys$49.4K@ 81.0¢
nuttypoo0xa1e6…e1c2
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYCowboys$34.1K@ 80.0¢
WanderingWombat0x878d…85a5
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
54.5¢$129.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
51.5¢$118.0Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
48.5¢$72.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5
54.5¢$67.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5
50.5¢$11.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
70.5¢$221priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x49f2…506aCowboys$321.3K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills
KosherlocksCowboys$64.1K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills
nuttypooCowboys$49.4K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
WanderingWombatCowboys$34.1K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
Scotty8153Cowboys$34.0K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
wan123Buccaneers$20.0K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·1 fill
elPolloLocoCowboys$16.2K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
kdvlklkvlsklkfsCowboys$12.3K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cBuccaneers$11.6K
BUY VWAP 19.0¢·3 fills
JustADonkCowboys$11.1K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.