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Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Maximo Zeitune

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $115.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $552.6KEvent: Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Maximo Zeitune
100.0¢
Gustavo Heide
0.1¢
Maximo Zeitune
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:97 trades$322.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 12s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gustavo Heide · $11.4K net·10 wallets·$23.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGustavo Heide$144.4K@ 100¢·0x08a3…8666

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Maximo Zeitune pressure: $144.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$144.4K
6h
−$18.0K
tracked
$322.8K

10 verified profitable wallets: Gustavo Heide · $11.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maximo Zeitune or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gustavo Heide and Maximo Zeitune in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Maximo Zeitune. This market will resolve to 'Maximo Zeitune' if Maximo Zeitune advances against Gustavo Heide. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Gustavo Heide57m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Gustavo Heide57m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Gustavo Heide57m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Gustavo Heide@ 87.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Gustavo Heide UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $232 → $16.0K · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gustavo Heide; negative values favor Maximo Zeitune. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaximo Zeitune · $144.4K
6hMaximo Zeitune · $18.0K
24hMaximo Zeitune · $18.0K

Gustavo Heide price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gustavo Heide price. Maximo Zeitune fills are converted to the complementary Gustavo Heide probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.4¢▲ above by 10.5pp
VWAP 7d89.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gustavo Heide price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$149.2K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$106.0K
80¢
$16.2K
75¢
$13.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$6.0K
60¢
$13.1K
55¢
$8.7K
50¢
$7.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGustavo Heide$144.4K@ 99.9¢0x08a3…8666🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYGustavo Heide$82.3K@ 87.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGustavo Heide$12.0K@ 75.2¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x08a3…8666Gustavo Heide$114.5K
BUY VWAP 86.5¢·5 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseGustavo Heide$13.2K
BUY VWAP 73.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.