PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $42.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.0KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
30.5¢
Team Liquid
69.5¢
LYON
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:198 trades$152.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 96%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $22.2K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$49.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$12.0K@ 55¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

LYON pressure: $18.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.5K
6h
−$18.5K
tracked
$152.9K

16 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $22.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 47

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LYON or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 3 against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Liquid and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 3 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $143.6K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $128.4K gross
lolgosu3 linked markets · $88.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 27.0¢7m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Liquid@ 56.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Team Liquid UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $6.4K → $517 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLYON · $18.5K
6hLYON · $18.5K
24hLYON · $18.5K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h51.6¢▼ below by 21.1pp
VWAP 7d51.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$51.3K
50¢
$39.6K
45¢
$56.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$707
25¢
$4.6K
20¢
$43
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLYON$11.5K@ 45.0¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYTeam Liquid$12.0K@ 55.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.0K@ 53.4¢
Mrfattytiger0x0fb5…e503
🐋—18 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
77.5¢$965.2Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$922.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$859.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
31.5¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eTeam Liquid$29.2K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·5 fills
0xe2d0…7bbfLYON$15.7K
BUY VWAP 46.5¢·2 fills
Jer-PredictLYON$14.4K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·2 fills
MrfattytigerTeam Liquid$10.0K
BUY VWAP 53.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.