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UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $246.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $421.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)
32.5¢
Chad Anheliger
67.5¢
Steven Koslow
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$228.3K tracked27% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Steven Koslow · $54.5K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$54.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSteven Koslow$45.2K@ 62¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Chad Anheliger SETUP
What the tape says

Chad Anheliger pressure: $20.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.8K
6h
+$93.6K
tracked
$228.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Steven Koslow · $54.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 59

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chad Anheliger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chad Anheliger" if Chad Anheliger is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steven Koslow at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Steven Koslow" if Steven Koslow is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Chad Anheliger" if Chad Anheliger is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steven Koslow at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Steven Koslow" if Steven Koslow is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Steven Koslow@ 68.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Chad Anheliger@ 39.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chad Anheliger@ 39.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Chad Anheliger@ 39.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Steven Koslow UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $37.3K → $252 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chad Anheliger; negative values favor Steven Koslow. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChad Anheliger · $20.8K
6hChad Anheliger · $93.6K
24hChad Anheliger · $92.5K

Chad Anheliger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chad Anheliger price. Steven Koslow fills are converted to the complementary Chad Anheliger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h38.7¢▼ below by 6.2pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chad Anheliger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$227.2K
30¢
← now
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSteven Koslow$45.2K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—5 minutes ago
BUYChad Anheliger$23.5K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYChad Anheliger$21.5K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.8K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$15.6K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.7K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.0K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.2K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$10.8K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketChad Anheliger$158.4K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·16 fills
ferrariChampions2026Steven Koslow$50.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.