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Hawks vs. Spurs

Sports→BasketballSettlement: HawksLiquidity: $224.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $207.7KEvent: Hawks vs. Spurs
100.0¢
Hawks payout
0.0¢
Spurs payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spurs · $2.4K net·9 wallets·$5.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$23.0K@ 73¢·ropetard

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hawks. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks".

•If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 8 at 8:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Spurs@ 70.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Spurs@ 73.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hawks; negative values favor Spurs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpurs · $1.0K
6hSpurs · $18.6K
24hSpurs · $24.5K

Hawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hawks price. Spurs fills are converted to the complementary Hawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h37.1¢▲ above by 62.9pp
VWAP 7d37.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.1K
90¢
$354
85¢
$249
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$886
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$271
25¢
$54.7K
20¢
$101
15¢
$1.3K
10¢
$82
5¢
$125
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSpurs$15.0K@ 71.0¢
ropetard0x2c86…d939
🐋—5 days ago
BUYSpurs$23.0K@ 72.8¢
ropetard0x2c86…d939
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ropetardSpurs$23.0K
BUY VWAP 72.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.