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Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Sports→SoccerSettlement: Bayer 04 LeverkusenLiquidity: $54.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $105.0KEvent: KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets
100.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen payout
0.0¢
KKS Lech Poznań payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KKS Lech Poznań · $16.6K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$16.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKKS Lech Poznań$16.5K@ 56¢·Kch-Temp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-15 16:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp8 linked markets · $46.7K gross
UpTheBlues9 linked markets · $14.6K gross
quavoo6 linked markets · $9.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY KKS Lech Poznań@ 58.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bayer 04 Leverkusen; negative values favor KKS Lech Poznań. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBayer 04 Leverkusen · $0
6hKKS Lech Poznań · $34.9K
24hKKS Lech Poznań · $34.7K

Bayer 04 Leverkusen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bayer 04 Leverkusen price. KKS Lech Poznań fills are converted to the complementary Bayer 04 Leverkusen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.8¢▲ above by 36.2pp
VWAP 7d63.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$17.7K
90¢
$2
85¢
$0
80¢
$192
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$13.8K
40¢
$19.9K
35¢
$111
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBayer 04 Leverkusen$10.8K@ 99.9¢
FinalOrder0xaa6f…1dfe
🐋—5 days ago
BUYKKS Lech Poznań$16.5K@ 56.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempKKS Lech Poznań$16.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.