PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)

Sports→SoccerSettlement: Real Madrid CFLiquidity: $80.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $478.4KEvent: AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets
0.0¢
AS Roma payout
100.0¢
Real Madrid CF payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Real Madrid CF · $19.1K net·4 wallets·$22.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYReal Madrid CF$50.3K@ 96¢·0000a

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Real Madrid CF. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "AS Roma" if AS Roma win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Roma" if AS Roma win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp15 linked markets · $59.2K gross
0xcc32…92d23 linked markets · $47.8K gross
spendingmoney2 linked markets · $11.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Real Madrid CF@ 97.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -0.7pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Real Madrid CF@ 96.2¢2d ago
15m STALLED +0.8pp1h STALLED +0.6pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Real Madrid CF@ 96.2¢2d ago
15m STALLED +0.8pp1h STALLED +0.6pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor AS Roma; negative values favor Real Madrid CF. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hReal Madrid CF · $6.2K
6hReal Madrid CF · $25.2K
24hReal Madrid CF · $191.8K

AS Roma price VWAP

Volume-weighted AS Roma price. Real Madrid CF fills are converted to the complementary AS Roma probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h3.5¢▼ below by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d3.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

AS Roma price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$221
10¢
$9
5¢
$1.0K
0¢
← now
$194.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYReal Madrid CF$10.4K@ 96.9¢
0000a0xee15…112c
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReal Madrid CF$10.7K@ 96.9¢
18275757820x2798…0b7d
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReal Madrid CF$45.2K@ 96.5¢
0000a0xee15…112c
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReal Madrid CF$28.0K@ 96.5¢
0000a0xee15…112c
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReal Madrid CF$50.3K@ 96.5¢
0000a0xee15…112c
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReal Madrid CF$14.1K@ 96.2¢
0000a0xee15…112c
🐋—2 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
96.5¢$770.8Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
0.1¢$536.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Santa Cruz 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Carlos Prado
0.0¢$491.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rovereto: Gabriela Knutson vs Martyna Kubka
0.0¢$434.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova
0.0¢$408.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
20.5¢$328.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0000aReal Madrid CF$155.4K
BUY VWAP 96.5¢·6 fills
FlaznorpReal Madrid CF$18.8K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·12 fills
1827575782Real Madrid CF$10.7K
BUY VWAP 96.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.