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Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: 4 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.4KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets
5.9¢
Manchester City FC
94.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection94Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution33Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$1.1K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Paris Saint-Germain FC · $14 net·2 wallets·$14 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYParis Saint-Germain FC$1.1K@ 94¢·Maximumusil

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Paris Saint-Germain FC pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$1.1K
tracked
$1.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Paris Saint-Germain FC · $14 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 73

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Paris Saint-Germain FC or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 4 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F623 linked markets · $77.1K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $41.5K gross
Jsram2 linked markets · $16.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Manchester City FC; negative values favor Paris Saint-Germain FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hParis Saint-Germain FC · $1.1K
6hParis Saint-Germain FC · $1.1K
24hParis Saint-Germain FC · $1.1K

Manchester City FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Manchester City FC price. Paris Saint-Germain FC fills are converted to the complementary Manchester City FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.9¢
VWAP 24h5.5¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d5.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Manchester City FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$1.1K
0¢
$45

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.