PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $533.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $226.7KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
35.5¢
San Diego Padres
64.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$139.2K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 106 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $1.6K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$25.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$65.0K@ 65¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$2.7K
tracked
$139.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 106 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 3 at 8:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $56.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 65.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 65.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 65.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 65.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $0
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $2.7K
24hMilwaukee Brewers · $139.2K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h35.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d35.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$164.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$12.7K@ 65.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$15.8K@ 65.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$65.0K@ 65.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$13.7K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
43.5¢$3.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
19.5¢$1.5Mpriority83Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
37.5¢$754.9Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$653.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
60.5¢$492.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
66.5¢$445.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$445.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerMilwaukee Brewers$87.4K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·3 fills
quavooMilwaukee Brewers$38.6K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·5 fills
0x2c33…0563San Diego Padres$13.7K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Milwaukee Brewers$11.8K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.