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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Sports→TennisSettlement: Valentin VacherotLiquidity: $233.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $593.1KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
100.0¢
Valentin Vacherot payout
0.0¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLValentin Vacherot$34.9K@ 100¢·Kev69

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Valentin Vacherot. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 12d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 12d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Valentin Vacherot@ 87.6¢12d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Stefanos Tsitsipas12d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Stefanos Tsitsipas12d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 59.0¢12d ago
15m CONFIRMED +24.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Vacherot; negative values favor Stefanos Tsitsipas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValentin Vacherot · $29.4K
6hStefanos Tsitsipas · $49.9K
24hStefanos Tsitsipas · $53.7K

Valentin Vacherot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Vacherot price. Stefanos Tsitsipas fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Vacherot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.1¢▲ above by 36.9pp
VWAP 7d63.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Vacherot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$55.0K
90¢
$18.2K
85¢
$45.4K
80¢
$13.5K
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$261
65¢
$8.0K
60¢
$3.9K
55¢
$9.0K
50¢
$15.6K
45¢
$2.0K
40¢
$38.3K
35¢
$39.7K
30¢
$14.0K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$4.0K
10¢
$65
5¢
$0
0¢
$16.8K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLValentin Vacherot$34.9K@ 99.9¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—12 days ago
BUYValentin Vacherot$30.0K@ 86.0¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—12 days ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$12.0K@ 69.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—12 days ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$12.0K@ 62.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—12 days ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$10.0K@ 62.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—12 days ago
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$10.1K@ 62.0¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.