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Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: 6 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.7KEvent: Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets
69.5¢
YES
30.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$8.0K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $2.1K net·3 wallets·$2.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$5.3K@ 33¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.1K
6h
−$2.6K
tracked
$8.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: YES · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Galatasaray SK and FC Barcelona each score at least one goal during the game.

•This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Galatasaray SK and FC Barcelona, scheduled for October 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Galatasaray SK and FC Barcelona each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
welcometowinnercircle2 linked markets · $76.9K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $49.7K gross
Flaznorp9 linked markets · $35.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $2.1K
6hNO · $2.6K
24hNO · $2.5K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h67.3¢▲ above by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d67.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
← now
$8.2K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
53.5¢$2.1Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
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Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)
1.2¢$70.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
33.5¢$48.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
62.5¢$46.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
3.9¢$44.1Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
80.5¢$27.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5
98.7¢$13.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.