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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $27.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $514.9KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
57.5¢
Chicago White Sox
42.5¢
Houston Astros
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection68Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$249.2K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $44.5K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$44.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHouston Astros$60.6K@ 54¢·PerpsKing

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Houston Astros pressure: $164.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$164.2K
6h
−$169.5K
tracked
$249.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $44.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 72

Since latest accumulation: -11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Houston Astros or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 29 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Houston Astros@ 54.0¢29m ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 54.0¢32m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 47.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 47.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $164.2K
6hHouston Astros · $169.5K
24hHouston Astros · $175.3K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h46.1¢▲ above by 11.4pp
VWAP 7d46.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$59
50¢
$6.8K
45¢
$268.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston Astros$10.8K@ 54.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$16.6K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$13.5K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$16.2K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$13.4K@ 47.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$14.5K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$60.6K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYHouston Astros$28.0K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$10.5K@ 46.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYChicago White Sox$15.7K@ 46.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PerpsKingHouston Astros$164.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·9 fills
0x1610…ae49Chicago White Sox$39.5K
BUY VWAP 46.3¢·3 fills
johnny234Houston Astros$10.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.