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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $706.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
0.1¢
Philadelphia Phillies
100.0¢
Atlanta Braves
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:213 trades$660.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $20.2K net·17 wallets(2🐋)·$90.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAtlanta Braves$169.5K@ 100¢·PerpsKing

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $240.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$240.6K
6h
−$900
tracked
$660.6K

17 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $20.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 29 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $31.9K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $29.3K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $28.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Atlanta Braves@ 87.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -51.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Atlanta Braves3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Atlanta Braves3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Atlanta Braves@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $512 → $163 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $240.6K
6hAtlanta Braves · $900
24hAtlanta Braves · $1.2K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h24.4¢▼ below by 24.3pp
VWAP 7d24.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$10.2K
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$0
50¢
$20
45¢
$72.3K
40¢
$38.6K
35¢
$257.0K
30¢
$220
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$3.5K
15¢
$20.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$9.0K
0¢
← now
$245.9K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAtlanta Braves$169.5K@ 99.9¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—38 minutes ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$47.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$20.0K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$27.0K@ 54.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$27.0K@ 54.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$27.6K@ 63.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$30.1K@ 64.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$106.9K@ 63.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.3K@ 37.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PerpsKingAtlanta Braves$106.9K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafAtlanta Braves$88.1K
BUY VWAP 57.3¢·5 fills
kkookkooAtlanta Braves$30.1K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Philadelphia Phillies$24.7K
BUY VWAP 31.1¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardAtlanta Braves$16.0K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·5 fills
1winstreak1Atlanta Braves$12.5K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Philadelphia Phillies$11.3K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.