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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $30.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $253.2KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs
87.0¢
Jiri Lehecka
13.0¢
Zizou Bergs
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$128.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 186 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zizou Bergs · $3.1K net·10 wallets·$14.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$42.8K@ 72¢·xabidaking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$90
tracked
$128.9K

10 verified profitable wallets: Zizou Bergs · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 186 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Zizou Bergs in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jiri Lehecka@ 88.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jiri Lehecka@ 72.0¢23h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
Latest book event: Jiri Lehecka UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.1K → $3.9K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jiri Lehecka; negative values favor Zizou Bergs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJiri Lehecka · $0
6hJiri Lehecka · $90
24hJiri Lehecka · $91.0K

Jiri Lehecka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jiri Lehecka price. Zizou Bergs fills are converted to the complementary Jiri Lehecka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.0¢
VWAP 24h78.5¢▲ above by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d78.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jiri Lehecka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$47.4K
80¢
$13.2K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$66.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJiri Lehecka$12.9K@ 88.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYJiri Lehecka$42.8K@ 71.7¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYJiri Lehecka$16.1K@ 72.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xabidakingJiri Lehecka$58.9K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·2 fills
coinlaundryJiri Lehecka$25.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.