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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.9MEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
100.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢
Atlanta Braves
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 24 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:566 trades$1.5M tracked6% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $124.4K net·24 wallets(3🐋)·$745.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves$218.1K@ 49¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Atlanta Braves pressure: $67.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$67.3K
6h
−$178.5K
tracked
$1.5M

24 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $124.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest counter flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Braves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $62.7K gross
1winstreak13 linked markets · $32.9K gross
curie3 linked markets · $23.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

COUNTER FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 80.0¢34m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Atlanta Braves@ 66.0¢45m ago
15m INVALIDATED -47.0pp
ANTI CHASESELL Atlanta Braves1h ago
Outcome checks pending
COUNTER FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 10.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $41.0K → $720 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Braves · $67.3K
6hAtlanta Braves · $178.5K
24hAtlanta Braves · $149.4K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 56.9pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$81.7K
90¢
$3.9K
85¢
$10.8K
80¢
$98.0K
75¢
$13.6K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$10.2K
50¢
$591.1K
45¢
$110.8K
40¢
$56.7K
35¢
$94.4K
30¢
$9.7K
25¢
$24.2K
20¢
$32.7K
15¢
$4.6K
10¢
$216.2K
5¢
$182.8K
0¢
$30

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$11.9K@ 99.9¢
ROI-Value0x689f…259c
🐋—7 minutes ago
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$10.0K@ 99.9¢0x50be…371b🐋—10 minutes ago
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$18.4K@ 99.9¢0xd1ec…5d8e🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$14.7K@ 81.0¢0xd1ec…5d8e🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$22.2K@ 61.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$22.7K@ 61.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$17.4K@ 54.0¢
FlamePyro0x613b…823a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$11.7K@ 58.3¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$11.8K@ 79.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$54.0K@ 90.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$26.7K@ 89.1¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$24.8K@ 91.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$53.4K@ 89.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$53.6K@ 89.3¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$27.8K@ 93.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$72.9K@ 91.1¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$18.8K@ 93.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$19.6K@ 93.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$36.1K@ 60.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$21.6K@ 72.1¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$15.0K@ 57.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$12.3K@ 49.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$19.5K@ 49.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$16.1K@ 50.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$30.0K@ 50.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$23.8K@ 49.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$218.1K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$13.1K@ 49.0¢
ziyoucui0x2c2a…267e
🐋—about 5 hours ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$12.1K@ 48.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$24.7K@ 49.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$14.1K@ 51.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$44.7K@ 48.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 19 hours ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$18.2K@ 48.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$29.1K@ 50.3¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$13.1K@ 51.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$22.8K@ 48.3¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaAtlanta Braves$218.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
PerpsKingAtlanta Braves$77.2K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·5 fills
ziyoucuiAtlanta Braves$67.1K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·4 fills
0x9e3e…f882Atlanta Braves$65.0K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·4 fills
kkookkooAtlanta Braves$59.1K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·3 fills
jaytee158Atlanta Braves$43.6K
BUY VWAP 91.8¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardAtlanta Braves$32.6K
BUY VWAP 58.7¢·6 fills
quavooAtlanta Braves$28.4K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·31 fills
fkcvffcjtAtlanta Braves$28.2K
BUY VWAP 42.7¢·4 fills
177-letsgoAtlanta Braves$27.8K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.