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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $459.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $543.1KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
39.5¢
Adolfo Vallejo payout
60.5¢
Jaime Faria payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:239 trades$199.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 912 min agoofficial metadata 871 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adolfo Vallejo · $24.2K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$45.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdolfo Vallejo$34.3K@ 44¢·kdvlklkvlsklkfs

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 15h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Adolfo Vallejo16h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Adolfo Vallejo@ 40.0¢16h ago
15m CONFIRMED +45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jaime Faria@ 59.0¢18h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jaime Faria DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $65 → $0 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adolfo Vallejo; negative values favor Jaime Faria. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJaime Faria · $16.5K
6hAdolfo Vallejo · $10.7K
24hAdolfo Vallejo · $10.7K

Adolfo Vallejo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adolfo Vallejo price. Jaime Faria fills are converted to the complementary Adolfo Vallejo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h60.7¢▼ below by 21.2pp
VWAP 7d60.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adolfo Vallejo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$16.5K
90¢
$22.1K
85¢
$24.2K
80¢
$8.2K
75¢
$24
70¢
$0
65¢
$10.8K
60¢
$7.3K
55¢
$8.0K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$343
40¢
$36.9K
35¢
← now
$51.5K
30¢
$9.9K
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$1
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$19.1K@ 93.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 16 hours ago
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$19.6K@ 85.8¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$34.3K@ 44.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYJaime Faria$17.9K@ 62.1¢
insidiousidiot0xd88a…a7e4
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kdvlklkvlsklkfsAdolfo Vallejo$34.3K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtAdolfo Vallejo$26.1K
BUY VWAP 89.8¢·2 fills
insidiousidiotJaime Faria$17.9K
BUY VWAP 62.1¢·1 fill
KkunnAdolfo Vallejo$10.7K
BUY VWAP 35.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.