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China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alex MolcanLiquidity: $155.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $596.4KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan
0.0¢
Marco Trungelliti payout
100.0¢
Alex Molcan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex Molcan$81.0K@ 79¢·raybanman

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alex Molcan. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Alex Molcan in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 15d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Molcan15d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Molcan15d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Molcan15d ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Alex Molcan@ 78.0¢15d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marco Trungelliti; negative values favor Alex Molcan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Molcan · $67.8K
6hAlex Molcan · $261.9K
24hAlex Molcan · $261.9K

Marco Trungelliti price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marco Trungelliti price. Alex Molcan fills are converted to the complementary Marco Trungelliti probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.8¢▼ below by 21.8pp
VWAP 7d21.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marco Trungelliti price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.3K
40¢
$19.2K
35¢
$9.7K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$262.5K
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$5.3K
5¢
$11.6K
0¢
← now
$16.0K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlex Molcan$18.2K@ 80.0¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—15 days ago
BUYAlex Molcan$16.6K@ 80.0¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—15 days ago
BUYAlex Molcan$22.9K@ 78.9¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—15 days ago
BUYAlex Molcan$76.8K@ 77.8¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—15 days ago
BUYAlex Molcan$81.0K@ 78.8¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—15 days ago
BUYAlex Molcan$11.0K@ 58.1¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—15 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.